The role of uncertainty in bedrock depth and hydraulic properties on the stability of a variably-saturated slope

作者: Guilherme JC Gomes , Jasper A Vrugt , Euripedes A Vargas Jr , Julia T Camargo , Raquel Q Velloso

DOI: 10.1016/J.COMPGEO.2017.03.016

关键词:

摘要: We investigate the uncertainty in bedrock depth and soil hydraulic parameters on stability of a variably-saturated slope Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. couple Monte Carlo simulation three-dimensional flow model with numerical limit analysis to calculate confidence intervals safety factor using 22-day rainfall record. evaluate marginal joint impact uncertainty. The mean its 95% interval evolve rapidly response storm events. Explicit recognition properties increases significantly probability failure.

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