Prioritising resilience policies to reduce welfare losses from natural disasters: A case study for coastal Bangladesh

摘要: Abstract Quantified flood risk assessments focus on asset losses, neglecting longer-term impacts to household welfare via income and consumption losses. The extent of losses depends upon resilience – the ability anticipate, resist, cope, recover learn from a shock. Here, we use novel loss modelling framework perform high-resolution spatial analysis in coastal Bangladesh quantify tropical cyclone under present future climatic socio-economic conditions. We further test various adaptation options that are intended enhance resilience. Results show poor households experience, average, 7% but 42% Combining dike heightening, post-disaster support stronger housing can reduce by up 70%, foster sustainable development benefitting poor, increasing demonstrating robustness uncertainties. Thus, welfare-orientated perspective helps identify leave no-one behind.