作者: Heather M Tallis , Peter L Hawthorne , Stephen Polasky , Joseph Reid , Michael W Beck
DOI: 10.1002/FEE.1965
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摘要: A hopeful vision of the future is a world in which both people and nature thrive, but there little evidence to support feasibility such vision. We used global, spatially explicit, systems modeling approach explore possibility meeting demands increased populations economic growth 2050 while simultaneously advancing multiple conservation goals. Our results demonstrate that if, instead “business as usual” practices, changes how where food energy are produced, this could help meet projected increases (54%) (56%) demand achieving habitat protection (>50% natural remains unconverted most biomes globally; 17% area each ecoregion protected country), reducing atmospheric greenhouse-gas emissions consistent with Paris Climate Agreement (≤1.6°C warming by 2100), ending overfishing, water stress particulate air pollution. Achieving for attainable existing technology consumption patterns. However, success will require major shifts production methods an ability overcome substantial economic, social, political challenges.