Modelling sustainable bioenergy potentials from agriculture for Germany and Eastern European countries.

摘要: Abstract This paper presents a model for analyzing the sustainable potential of agricultural biomass energy production. Available land and residue potentials are assessed up to 2030 Germany, Poland, Czech Republic Hungary. Two scenarios presented: “business as usual” scenario is compared sustainability scenario. The latter implements comprehensive strategy, taking also into account non-agricultural use such building activity nature conservation. On one hand our quantifies conflict objectives between enhanced extensification in agriculture increased area other synergies restricting built mobilisation residues assessed. Additionally impact reduced subsidized exports from EU calculated, an indicator influence world food markets on bioenergy potentials. Our results show that strongly restricted Germany their demand. But Poland Hungary native provides much higher supply, even if comprehensively considered. However, this influenced by amount each country. For cultivation remain option sector, its must be respected more thoroughly approach development prerequisite.