Parameter uncertainty and simulation of design floods in Sweden
作者： Joakim Harlin , Chen-Shan Kung
DOI: 10.1016/0022-1694(92)90057-3
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摘要: This paper examines the effects of parameter uncertainty on simulation recorded floods and design floods, using HBV hydrological model. Two Swedish catchments with hydropower development were studied. A Monte Carlo procedure was used to generate sets different levels uncertainty. The results showed that most sensitive parameters in calibration process snowfall correction factor recession parameters. Furthermore, when model extrapolated simulate flood water stage hydrographs, single highest coefficient. In addition, it found associated combinations rather than absolute values each.
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