How to cope with changing demand conditions - The Swedish forest sector as a case study: an analysis of major drivers of change in the use of wood resources
作者： Ragnar Jonsson
关键词:
摘要: Promotion of renewable energy sources in Europe is foreseen to result a dramatic increase the demand for woody biomass. This paper assesses whether wood resources European Union (EU) will support future demand. Possible implications countries with ample forest and well-developed industry, such as Sweden, an expected mounting pressure are discussed. Other drivers change global product markets posing challenges sector general also addressed. These reviewed and, together results from EUwood project econometric market models, analyzed their impacts on Swedish sector. Demand vastly exceed potential supply biomass Europe, putting tremendous resource necessitating trade-offs between different ecosystem services. Further, projections suggest that Sweden decrease importance production well consumption terms all products.
cabdirect.org
nrcresearchpress.com参考文章(34)
P. Schouwenberg, A.P.C. Faaij, M. Cocchi, H.M. Junginger, J.G.G. Jonker, Summary, synthesis and conclusions from IEA Bioenergy Task 40 country reports on international bioenergy trade Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University. ,(2011)
Annukka Näyhä, Päivi Pelli, Lauri Hetemäki, Services in the forest-based sector – unexplored futures Foresight. ,vol. 17, pp. 378- 398 ,(2015) , 10.1108/FS-08-2013-0034
Göran Berndes, Julia Hansson, Bioenergy expansion in the EU: Cost-effective climate change mitigation, employment creation and reduced dependency on imported fuels Energy Policy. ,vol. 35, pp. 5965- 5979 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2007.08.003
Robert N Stavins, The Costs of Carbon Sequestration: A Revealed-Preference Approach American Economic Review. ,vol. 89, pp. 994- 1009 ,(1999) , 10.1257/AER.89.4.994
W. A. Kurz, C. C. Dymond, G. Stinson, G. J. Rampley, E. T. Neilson, A. L. Carroll, T. Ebata, L. Safranyik, Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change Nature. ,vol. 452, pp. 987- 990 ,(2008) , 10.1038/NATURE06777
Roger A. Sedjo, Joe Wisniewski, Alaric V. Sample, John D. Kinsman, The economics of managing carbon via forestry: Assessment of existing studies Environmental and Resource Economics. ,vol. 6, pp. 139- 165 ,(1995) , 10.1007/BF00691681
Julia Hansson, Göran Berndes, Filip Johnsson, Jan Kjärstad, Co-firing biomass with coal for electricity generation—An assessment of the potential in EU27 Energy Policy. ,vol. 37, pp. 1444- 1455 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2008.12.007
A. P. Kirilenko, R. A. Sedjo, Climate change impacts on forestry. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 104, pp. 19697- 19702 ,(2007) , 10.1073/PNAS.0701424104
Joakim Hjältén, Fredrik Stenbacka, Jon Andersson, Saproxylic beetle assemblages on low stumps, high stumps and logs: implications for environmental effects of stump harvesting. Forest Ecology and Management. ,vol. 260, pp. 1149- 1155 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.FORECO.2010.07.003
Joseph Buongiorno, Forest sector modeling: a synthesis of econometrics, mathematical programming, and system dynamics methods International Journal of Forecasting. ,vol. 12, pp. 329- 343 ,(1996) , 10.1016/0169-2070(96)00668-1