Combined effects of climate and land‐use change on the future of humid tropical forests
作者： Gregory P. Asner , Scott R. Loarie , Ursula Heyder
DOI: 10.1111/J.1755-263X.2010.00133.X
关键词:
摘要: New deforestation and selective logging data climate change projections suggest that biodiversity refugia in humid tropical forests may more extensively than previously reported. However, the relative impacts from land use vary by region. In Amazon, a combination of renders up to 81% region susceptible rapid vegetation change. Congo, could negatively affect 35–74% basin. Climate-driven changes play smaller role Asia-Oceania compared Latin America or Africa, but 60–77% major changes. By 2100, only 18–45% biome will remain intact. The results provide new input on geography projected ongoing land-use better determine where biological conservation might be most effective this century.
cabdirect.org
elsevier.com
sci-hub.se 参考文章(33)
J. J. Tewksbury, R. B. Huey, C. A. Deutsch, Putting the Heat on Tropical Animals Science. ,vol. 320, pp. 1296- 1297 ,(2008) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1159328
Daniel C. Nepstad, Adalberto Verssimo, Ane Alencar, Carlos Nobre, Eirivelthon Lima, Paul Lefebvre, Peter Schlesinger, Christopher Potter, Paulo Moutinho, Elsa Mendoza, Mark Cochrane, Vanessa Brooks, Large-scale impoverishment of Amazonian forests by logging and fire Nature. ,vol. 398, pp. 505- 508 ,(1999) , 10.1038/19066
I. Colin Prentice, Alberte Bondeau, Wolfgang Cramer, Sandy P. Harrison, Thomas Hickler, Wolfgang Lucht, Stephen Sitch, Ben Smith, Martin T. Sykes, Dynamic global vegetation modelling: quantifying terrestrial ecosystem responses to large-scale environmental change Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World; pp 175-192 (2007). pp. 175- 192 ,(2007) , 10.1007/978-3-540-32730-1_15
R. E. Gullison, P. C. Frumhoff, J. G. Canadell, C. B. Field, D. C. Nepstad, K. Hayhoe, R. Avissar, L. M. Curran, P. Friedlingstein, C. D. Jones, C. Nobre, Environment. Tropical forests and climate policy. Science. ,vol. 316, pp. 985- 986 ,(2007) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1136163
F Achard, R DeFries, H Eva, M Hansen, P Mayaux, H-J Stibig, Pan-tropical monitoring of deforestation Environmental Research Letters. ,vol. 2, pp. 045022- ,(2007) , 10.1088/1748-9326/2/4/045022
S. JOSEPH WRIGHT, HELENE C. MULLER-LANDAU, JAN SCHIPPER, The Future of Tropical Species on a Warmer Planet Conservation Biology. ,vol. 23, pp. 1418- 1426 ,(2009) , 10.1111/J.1523-1739.2009.01337.X
P. M. Cox, R. A. Betts, M. Collins, P. P. Harris, C. Huntingford, C. D. Jones, Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ,vol. 78, pp. 137- 156 ,(2004) , 10.1007/S00704-004-0049-4
Britaldo Silveira Soares-Filho, Daniel Curtis Nepstad, Lisa M. Curran, Gustavo Coutinho Cerqueira, Ricardo Alexandrino Garcia, Claudia Azevedo Ramos, Eliane Voll, Alice McDonald, Paul Lefebvre, Peter Schlesinger, Modelling conservation in the Amazon basin Nature. ,vol. 440, pp. 520- 523 ,(2006) , 10.1038/NATURE04389
J. Shukla, C. Nobre, P. Sellers, Amazon Deforestation and Climate Change Science. ,vol. 247, pp. 1322- 1325 ,(1990) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.247.4948.1322
N. T. Laporte, J. A. Stabach, R. Grosch, T. S. Lin, S. J. Goetz, Expansion of Industrial Logging in Central Africa Science. ,vol. 316, pp. 1451- 1451 ,(2007) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1141057