作者: Bundit Limmeechokchai , Puttipong Chunark , Shinichiro Fujimori , Toshihiko Masui
DOI: 10.1007/978-981-10-3869-3_10
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摘要: On 1st October 2015, Thailand had submitted its Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) and stated that by 2030 GHG emissions will be reduced 20–25% when compared to the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario. The Paris Agreement was adopted on 12 December 2015 at twenty-first session of Conference Parties (COP21) United Nations Framework Convention Climate Change (UNFCCC) held in Paris. In addition, provided signature New York 22 April 2016 ratified 21 September 2016. This paper assesses impacts emission reduction targets Thailand’s INDC using Asia-Pacific Integrated Model/Computable General Equilibrium (AIM/CGE). Four scenarios are established given constraints renewable power generation target. Results show that, under Power Development Plan target is achievable. As a result, macroeconomic loss low target, but it high needs more energy push realize stringent climate policy. Thus, availability land for deploying technologies such as solar, wind, biomass evaluated meet higher levels. Furthermore, levels also induce other air pollutants. Finally, result this study has been used design roadmap 2030, confidence achievement Agreement.