An Improved Solar Cycle Statistical Model for the Projection of Near Future Sunspot Cycles

摘要: Since the current solar cycle 23 has progressed near end of and accurate minimum maximum occurrences have been defined, a statistical model based on odd-even behavior historical sunspot cycles was reexamined. Separate calculations activity levels were made for rising declining phases in 23, which resulted improved projection sunspots remainder 23. Because fundamental understanding transition from to not developed, at this time it is assumed purposes that 24 will continue same level phase Projection errors can be corrected as progresses observations become available because shown self-correcting.