作者: Marie Ng , Tom Fleming , Margaret Robinson , Blake Thomson , Nicholas Graetz
DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60460-8
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摘要: Summary Background In 2010, overweight and obesity were estimated to cause 3·4 million deaths, 3·9% of years life lost, 3·8% disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) worldwide. The rise in has led widespread calls for regular monitoring changes prevalence all populations. Comparable, up-to-date information about levels trends is essential quantify population health effects prompt decision makers prioritise action. We estimate the global, regional, national children adults during 1980–2013. Methods systematically identified surveys, reports, published studies (n=1769) that included data height weight, both through physical measurements self-reports. used mixed linear regression correct bias obtained by age, sex, country, year (n=19 244) with a spatiotemporal Gaussian process model 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Findings Worldwide, proportion body-mass index (BMI) 25 kg/m 2 or greater increased between 1980 2013 from 28·8% (95% UI 28·4–29·3) 36·9% (36·3–37·4) men, 29·8% (29·3–30·2) 38·0% (37·5–38·5) women. Prevalence substantially adolescents developed countries; 23·8% (22·9–24·7) boys 22·6% (21·7–23·6) girls obese 2013. also developing countries, 8·1% (7·7–8·6) 12·9% (12·3–13·5) 8·4% (8·1–8·8) 13·4% (13·0–13·9) girls. adults, exceeded 50% men Tonga women Kuwait, Kiribati, Federated States Micronesia, Libya, Qatar, Tonga, Samoa. Since 2006, increase adult countries slowed down. Interpretation Because established risks substantial increases prevalence, become major global challenge. Not only increasing, but no success stories have been reported past 33 years. Urgent action leadership needed help more effectively intervene. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.