Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

作者: Marie Ng , Tom Fleming , Margaret Robinson , Blake Thomson , Nicholas Graetz

DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60460-8

关键词:

摘要: Summary Background In 2010, overweight and obesity were estimated to cause 3·4 million deaths, 3·9% of years life lost, 3·8% disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) worldwide. The rise in has led widespread calls for regular monitoring changes prevalence all populations. Comparable, up-to-date information about levels trends is essential quantify population health effects prompt decision makers prioritise action. We estimate the global, regional, national children adults during 1980–2013. Methods systematically identified surveys, reports, published studies (n=1769) that included data height weight, both through physical measurements self-reports. used mixed linear regression correct bias obtained by age, sex, country, year (n=19 244) with a spatiotemporal Gaussian process model 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Findings Worldwide, proportion body-mass index (BMI) 25 kg/m 2 or greater increased between 1980 2013 from 28·8% (95% UI 28·4–29·3) 36·9% (36·3–37·4) men, 29·8% (29·3–30·2) 38·0% (37·5–38·5) women. Prevalence substantially adolescents developed countries; 23·8% (22·9–24·7) boys 22·6% (21·7–23·6) girls obese 2013. also developing countries, 8·1% (7·7–8·6) 12·9% (12·3–13·5) 8·4% (8·1–8·8) 13·4% (13·0–13·9) girls. adults, exceeded 50% men Tonga women Kuwait, Kiribati, Federated States Micronesia, Libya, Qatar, Tonga, Samoa. Since 2006, increase adult countries slowed down. Interpretation Because established risks substantial increases prevalence, become major global challenge. Not only increasing, but no success stories have been reported past 33 years. Urgent action leadership needed help more effectively intervene. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

参考文章(65)
P Jousilahti, E Vartiainen, D Wormser, S Kaptoge, E Di Angelantonio, AM Wood, L Pennells, A Thompson, N Sarwar, JR Kizer, DA Lawlor, BG Nordestgaard, P Ridker, V Salomaa, J Stevens, M Woodward, N Sattar, R Collins, SG Thompson, G Whitlock, J Danesh, Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration Study Group, None, Separate and combined associations of body-mass index and abdominal adiposity with cardiovascular disease: collaborative analysis of 58 prospective studies The Lancet. ,vol. 377, pp. 1085- 1095 ,(2011) , 10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60105-0
Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration, None, Body mass index and cardiovascular disease in the Asia-Pacific Region: an overview of 33 cohorts involving 310 000 participants. International Journal of Epidemiology. ,vol. 33, pp. 751- 758 ,(2004) , 10.1093/IJE/DYH163
Timothy S. Church, Diana M. Thomas, Catrine Tudor-Locke, Peter T. Katzmarzyk, Conrad P. Earnest, Ruben Q. Rodarte, Corby K. Martin, Steven N. Blair, Claude Bouchard, Trends over 5 decades in U.S. occupation-related physical activity and their associations with obesity. PLOS ONE. ,vol. 6, ,(2011) , 10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0019657
Ethan A.H. Sims, Are there persons who are obese, but metabolically healthy? Metabolism-clinical and Experimental. ,vol. 50, pp. 1499- 1504 ,(2001) , 10.1053/META.2001.27213
Walter C. Willett, Frank B. Hu, Michael Thun, Overweight, Obesity, and All-Cause Mortality JAMA. ,vol. 309, pp. 1681- 1682 ,(2013) , 10.1001/JAMA.2013.3075
S. Jay Olshansky, Douglas J. Passaro, Ronald C. Hershow, Jennifer Layden, Bruce A. Carnes, Jacob Brody, Leonard Hayflick, Robert N. Butler, David B. Allison, David S. Ludwig, A Potential Decline in Life Expectancy in the United States in the 21st Century The New England Journal of Medicine. ,vol. 352, pp. 1138- 1145 ,(2005) , 10.1056/NEJMSR043743
S. Connor Gorber, M. Tremblay, D. Moher, B. Gorber, A comparison of direct vs. self-report measures for assessing height, weight and body mass index: a systematic review Obesity Reviews. ,vol. 8, pp. 307- 326 ,(2007) , 10.1111/J.1467-789X.2007.00347.X