Health risk assessment of exposure to the Middle-Eastern Dust storms in the Iranian megacity of Kermanshah.

摘要: Abstract Objective This study assessed the effects of particulate matter (PM), equal or less than 10 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM10), from Middle-Eastern Dust events on public health megacity Kermanshah (Iran). Study design used epidemiological modeling and monitored ambient air quality data to estimate potential PM10 impacts health. Methods The AirQ2.2.3 model was calculate mortality morbidity attributed as representative dust events. Using Visual Basic for Applications, programming language Excel software, hourly concentrations obtained local agency were processed prepare input files model. Results baseline incidence, defined by World Health Organization, number of estimated excess cases respiratory mortality, hospital admissions chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diseases, cardiovascular diseases 37, 39, 476, 184 persons, respectively, 21st March, 2014 20th 2015. Furthermore, 92% occurred days with lower 150 μg/m3. highest percentage person-days daily range 100–109 μg/m3, causing maximum end-points among citizens Kermanshah. Conclusions Calculating cumulative provides a good tool decision policy-makers field care compensate their shortcomings particularly at healthcare centers combating storms. To diminish these effects, several immediate actions should be managed governmental scale control such spreading mulch planting new species that are compatible arid area.