Incorporating macroeconomic feedback into an energy systems model using an IO approach: Evaluating the rebound effect in the Korean electricity system

摘要: Abstract This paper approximates the emissions rebound effects 1 associated with substituting expensive and GHG emitting natural gas (LNG) power plants, apparently cheaper lower nuclear plant. It then evaluates effect this has on economy wide electricity use as well net changes. The analysis is undertaken by combining aspects of an input–output model optimizing energy systems model. scope case study limited to sector (and its emissions) Korean from 2005 2030. Its primary basis (in terms data assumptions) recent national Basic Plan for Long-Term Electricity Supply Demand ( KPX, 2006 ). 2 cases considered a increase share Advanced Pressurised Reactor (APR) plant at expense combined cycle turbine (CCGT) running imported liquefied (LNG). Three scenarios are studied, based KPX (2006) . These include (1) Reference scenario, 3 (2) Mitigation scenario (where extra 5000 MW allowed enter system LNG plant, but no calculated) (3) Mitigation+rebound some savings offset rebound). 4 modelling approach developed useful it provides method including indicating economic interactions in relatively transparent manner. Stand alone models can lack dynamics, while often decoupled detailed interactions.