Identifying the residential location of rapists.

作者: D.V. Canter , A. Gregory

DOI: 10.1016/S0015-7368(94)72910-8

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摘要: The spatial offence behaviour of 45 British serial rapists was examined in order to generate a predictive model, use criminal investigators. Two alternative hypotheses were explored. One predicted that would commute into an area carry out their offence. second they "maraud" from fixed location. Of the offenders, 39 fitted "maurader" hypothesis. However, covered by this model average nearly 180 square miles. A complementary theory, developed facets offenders' backgrounds, therefore used refine predictions distance travelled and between offences. This enabled size residential zone marauder be reduced mean just over ten Tests these models, combined small scale expert system, correct for 82% cases. Suggestions further development system are discussed.

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