Applying and comparing empirical and full Bayesian models in study of evaluating relative risk of suicide among counties of Ilam province.

摘要: Introduction: Disease mapping includes a set of statistical techniques that provides maps based on estimates diseases rates. Bayesian ones are the most important models in this field. They consider prior information changes disease rates overall map and spatial pattern disease. These include broad range with their own formulation, characteristics, strengths, weaknesses. In present study, we explain compare three widely-used study evaluating relative risk suicide Ilam province. Materials Methods: applied-ecological research, incidence province 2008 2009 was analyzed by use Gamma-Poisson, Log-normal, BYM models. Models were fitted to data using WinBUGS software. Results: Fitting showed Darehshahr Shirvan-Chrdavol had highest lowest suicide, respectively (relative risks 2.243, 2.275, 2.279 for Dareshahr 0.321, 0.319 Shirvan-Chrdavol, respectively). Conclusion: Despite some differences estimates, ranks counties all same. The from least are: Darehshahr, Ilam, Dehloran, Eyvan, Abdanan, Mehran, Malekshahi, Shirvan-Chrdavol.