Predicting the future burden of cancer.

摘要: As observations in the past do not necessarily hold into future, predicting future cancer occurrence is fraught with uncertainty. Nevertheless, predictions can aid health planners allocating resources and allow scientists to explore consequence of interventions aimed at reducing impact cancer. Simple statistical models have been refined over few decades often provide reasonable when applied recent trends. Intrinsic their interpretation, however, an understanding forces that drive time We explain how why are made, examples illustrate concepts practice.