Risk assessment of wave run-up height and armor stability of inclined coastal structures subject to long-term sea level rise

摘要: Abstract In this study, a risk assessment system has been developed by performing the reliability analysis for wave run-up and armor stability of inclined coastal structures various scenarios long-term sea level rise due to climate change. The change probability failure calculated against design parameters such as size units, structure slope, freeboard structure. It is found that effect negligible outside surf zone. Inside zone, however, increases with decreasing water depth so more increase in smaller same rise. By comparing results before after rise, it possible evaluate how influences present study could be used maintenance or reinforcement planning existing well new cope future