SimSmoke model evaluation of the effect of tobacco control policies in Korea: the unknown success story.

摘要: Objectives. We evaluated the effect of strict tobacco control policies, implemented beginning in 1995 Republic Korea, on smoking prevalence and deaths.Methods. SimSmoke is a simulation model policies over time initiation cessation. It uses standard attribution methods to estimate lives saved as result new policies. After validating against prevalence, we used it determine Korean policies' prevalence.Results. The predicted accurately between 2006. estimated that 70% 24% relative reduction rates period was attributable mainly tax increases strong media campaign, will prolong 104 812 male by year 2027.Conclusions. Our results document Korea's success reducing prolonging lives, which may serve an example for other Asian nations. Further improvemen...