The War on Illegal Drug Production and Trafficking: An Economic Evaluation of Plan Colombia

摘要: This paper provides a thorough economic evaluation of the anti-drug policies implemented in Colombia between 2000 and 2006 under so-called Plan Colombia. The develops game theory model war against illegal drugs producer countries. We explicitly drug markets, which allows us to account for feedback effects market outcomes that are potentially important when evaluating large scale policy interventions such as use available data on cocaine production trafficking well from markets calibrate parameters model. Using results calibration we estimate measures costs, effectiveness, efficiency Finally carry out simulations order assess impact increases U.S. budget allocated Colombia, find three-fold increase would decrease amount succesfully reaches consumer countries by about 17%.