Thinking and deciding

摘要: Preface Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking? 2. The study of thinking 3. Good thinking: the nature rationality 4. Logic II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory probability 6. Descriptive judgment 7. Hypothesis testing 8. Judgment correlation contingency 9. Actively open minded III. Decisions Plans: 10. choice 11. Description under uncertainty 12. certainty 13. Utility measurement 14. Decision analysis values 15. Quantitative 16. Moral 17. Fairness justice 18. Social dilemmas 19. about future 20. Risk.