Evaluation of a regional climate model using in situ temperature observations over the Balkan Peninsula

作者: E. KOSTOPOULOU , K. TOLIKA , I. TEGOULIAS , C. GIANNAKOPOULOS , S. SOMOT

DOI: 10.1111/J.1600-0870.2009.00389.X

关键词:

摘要: Climate model data provide large, dense coverage and long time-series, characteristics that are advantageous in the study of climate. However, it is not recommended such be used any region without prior evaluation their reliability based on comparisons with situ observations. In this study, accuracy maximum minimum temperature from ALADIN-Climate regional climate (with a 25-km horizontal resolution driven at lateral boundaries by ERA-40 reanalysis) have been assessed for 53 stations across Balkan Peninsula. The temperatures corresponding to each station were extracted nearest land grids. first compared observations subsequently examined ability identify extreme events. general, was found quite accurate describing seasonal cycle, as well simulating spatial distribution temperature. Simulations more realistic along coastlines, highlighting constraints topographic forcing simulations. Assessing performance determine extremes (warm cold spells), better detecting spells has tendency toward overestimating frequency occurrence warm spells, particularly summer.

参考文章(34)
Erik Kjellström, Ralf Döscher, H.E. Markus Meier, Atmospheric response to different sea surface temperatures in the Baltic Sea: coupled versus uncoupled regional climate model experiments Hydrology Research. ,vol. 36, pp. 397- 409 ,(2005) , 10.2166/NH.2005.0030
P. D. Jones, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, M. Hulme, D. E. Parker, T. A. Basnett, The Use of Indices to Identify Changes in Climatic Extremes Climatic Change. ,vol. 42, pp. 131- 149 ,(1999) , 10.1007/978-94-015-9265-9_10
Raluca Radu, Michel Déqué, Samuel Somot, Spectral nudging in a spectral regional climate model Tellus A. ,vol. 60, pp. 898- 910 ,(2008) , 10.1111/J.1600-0870.2008.00341.X
S. Somot, F. Sevault, M. Déqué, M. Crépon, 21st century climate change scenario for the Mediterranean using a coupled atmosphere–ocean regional climate model grid and pervasive computing. ,vol. 63, pp. 112- 126 ,(2008) , 10.1016/J.GLOPLACHA.2007.10.003
Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Bennert Machenhauer, Richard G Jones, Christoph Schär, Paolo Michele Ruti, M Castro, G Visconti, Validation of present-day regional climate simulations over Europe: LAM simulations with observed boundary conditions Climate Dynamics. ,vol. 13, pp. 489- 506 ,(1997) , 10.1007/S003820050178
Sonia I. Seneviratne, Daniel Lüthi, Michael Litschi, Christoph Schär, Land–atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe Nature. ,vol. 443, pp. 205- 209 ,(2006) , 10.1038/NATURE05095