Extrapolation for Future Maximum Load Statistics

摘要: The use of short-term load data to extrapolate or project remote future maximum has been practiced in structural design code development and/or calibration. However, this approach not adequately evaluated validated because the absence long-term data, which is important for structures’ safety governed by these codes. In paper, application such extrapolations highway bridge studied taking advantage available truck weight obtained from weigh-in-motion technique. A new extrapolation method proposed understanding importance probability distribution’s high tail. This significantly reduces mathematical length extrapolation/projection and thus increases its reliability. Also presented paper are examples. addition, process with quantitative indexes. a temporal can now be by...