System dynamics approach to urban water demand forecasting

作者: Hongwei Zhang , Xuehua Zhang , Bao’an Zhang

DOI: 10.1007/S12209-009-0014-5

关键词:

摘要: A system dynamics approach to urban water demand forecasting was developed based on the analysis of resources system, which characterized by multi-feedback and nonlinear interactions among elements. As an example, Tianjin dynamic model set up forecast planning years. The practical verification showed that relative error lower than 10%. Furthermore, through comparison simulation results under different development modes presented in this paper, achieved sustainable utilization strategy resources.

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