New Psychological Paradigm for Conditionals and General de Finetti Tables

作者: J. BARATGIN , D. OVER , G. POLITZER

DOI: 10.1111/MILA.12042

关键词:

摘要: The new Bayesian paradigm in the psychology of reasoning aims to integrate study human reasoning, decision making, and rationality. It is supported by two findings. One, most people judge probability indicative conditional, P(if A then B), be conditional probability, P(B|A), as implied Ramsey test. Two, they if B void when false. Their three-valued response table used called 'defective', but should termed de Finetti table. We show how general truth tables for negations, conjunctions, disjunctions, conditionals.

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