Some fractal thoughts about the COVID-19 infection outbreak
作者： Massimo Materassi
DOI:
关键词:
摘要: Some ideas are presented about the physical motivation of apparent capacity generalized logistic equations to describe outbreak COVID-19 infection, and in general quite many other epidemics. The main focuses here are: complex, possibly fractal, structure locus describing "contagion event set"; what can be learnt from models trophic webs with "herd behaviour".
harvard.edu
arxiv.org参考文章(8)
Nicolas Bacaër, Verhulst and the logistic equation (1838) Springer, London. pp. 35- 39 ,(2011) , 10.1007/978-0-85729-115-8_6
Nicolas Bacaër, A Short History of Mathematical Population Dynamics ,(2011)
B. Szendrói, G. Csányi, Polynomial epidemics and clustering in contact networks Proceedings of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. ,vol. 271, pp. 364- 366 ,(2004) , 10.1098/RSBL.2004.0188
Valerio Ajraldi, Marta Pittavino, Ezio Venturino, Modeling herd behavior in population systems Nonlinear Analysis-real World Applications. ,vol. 12, pp. 2319- 2338 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.NONRWA.2011.02.002
Massimo Materassi, Giacomo Innocenti, Duccio Berzi, Stefano Focardi, Kleptoparasitism and complexity in a multi-trophic web Ecological Complexity. ,vol. 29, pp. 49- 60 ,(2017) , 10.1016/J.ECOCOM.2016.12.004
Anna L. Ziff, Robert M. Ziff, Fractal kinetics of COVID-19 pandemic medRxiv. ,(2020) , 10.1101/2020.02.16.20023820
Ke Wu, Didier Darcet, Qian Wang, Didier Sornette, Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak in 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world medRxiv. ,(2020) , 10.1101/2020.03.11.20034363
Duccio Fanelli, Francesco Piazza, Analysis and forecast of COVID-19 spreading in China, Italy and France Chaos Solitons & Fractals. ,vol. 134, pp. 109761- ,(2020) , 10.1016/J.CHAOS.2020.109761