作者: Mathew Barlow , Benjamin Zaitchik , Shlomit Paz , Emily Black , Jason Evans
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00692.1
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摘要: AbstractThe Middle East and southwest Asia are a region that is water stressed, societally vulnerable, prone to severe droughts. Large-scale climate variability, particularly La Nina, appears play an important role in regionwide droughts, including the two most of last 50 years—1999–2001 2007/08—with implications for drought forecasting. Important dynamical factors include orography, thermodynamic influence on vertical motion, storm-track changes, moisture transport. Vegetation strongly impacted by may provide feedback mechanism. In future projections, drying eastern Mediterranean robust feature, as temperature increases throughout region, which will affect evaporation timing intensity snowmelt. feedbacks become more warming climate. There wide range outstanding issues understanding, monitoring, predicting dynamics ...