A new technique of non‐linear statistic prediction and its application in atmospheric systems

摘要: Purpose – To forecast the path of tropic cyclones by using a non‐linear statistical forecasting technique method successive analogy.Design/methodology/approach Non‐linear models can describe relationship between factors and objects real atmospheric movement more accurately, so they usually have stronger capability. In practice, however, it is shown that relationships predictors predictands sometimes are complex very difficult or even impossible to establish kind mathematical model. Therefore, an important topic for science solve prediction problem systems non‐function model approach.Findings The objective quantitative tropical cyclone moving be given analogy, technique, calculating similarity parameters g...