Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging

摘要: The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) combine complex interlinkages, future uncertainty and transformational change. Recent studies highlight that trade-offs between SDG targets may undermine achievement of the goals. Significant gaps remain in scenario frameworks modelling capabilities. We develop a novel approach nesting national within global Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, selecting Australia as use case. integrated SDG–Australia model is used to project four alternative scenarios adopt different development approaches. Although we find off-track achieve SDGs by 2030, considerable progress possible altering Australia’s trajectory. A ‘Sustainability Transition’ comprising coherent set policies investments delivers rapid balanced 70% towards well ahead business-as-usual (40%). focus on economic growth, social inclusion or green economy isolation foregoes opportunities for greater gains. However, cascading risks could progress, closing gap 100% will be very challenging. This require shift from ‘transition’ ‘transformation’. simulation Australian how finds working all goals jointly has added benefits. In path goals, last stages most