作者: Daniela Thrän , Thilo Seidenberger , Jürgen Zeddies , Ruth Offermann
DOI: 10.1016/J.ESD.2010.07.004
关键词:
摘要: Abstract This paper reviews the current state of biomass potential studies, discusses essential driving factors for energy crop potentials and shows results a scenario analysis worldwide till 2050. The previous estimates vary widely. A comparison 19 different assessments showed crops ranging from 0 EJ/yr to 1272 EJ/yr in However, relatively little information is available short mid-term perspective (2020 2030). As an increasing demand can be expected, 133 individual countries are calculated on premise that food takes priority. Applying approach with three scenarios years 2010, 2015, 2020 2050 resulting changes “business as usual” development 27 EJ 2010 96 In comparison, “sustainable land use” much lower 18 16 “environment health” finally produces almost stable order 40 investigated timeframe.