Changes in forest habitat classes under alternative climate and land-use change scenarios in the northeast and midwest, USA

作者: Michael E Goerndt , Brian G Tavernia , Mark D Nelson , Brian F Walters , Chris Toney

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摘要: Large-scale and long-term habitat management plans are needed to maintain the diversity of classes required by wildlife species. Planning efforts would benefit from assessments potential climate land-use change effects on habitats. We assessed driven changes in areas closed- open-canopy forest across Northeast Midwest 2060. Our were made using projections based A1B A2 future scenarios developed Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change. Presently, land covers 70.2 million ha is evenly divided between Projections indicated that total decrease 3.8 or 4.5 for A1B, respectively. Within persisting land, balance habitats depended assumed harvest rates woody biomass. Standard led closed-canopy attaining a slight majority area. Intensive resulted being maintained even split A2. Ultimately, managers need identify benchmark conditions informed historical population dynamics plan meet these benchmarks dynamic landscapes.

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