作者: Knut L Seip , None
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-76971-9_26
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摘要: This multiattribute analysis shows how “the seven steps of decision analysis” is applied to the siting oil drilling wells in Northern Norway. The study includes an assessment frequency accidents (oil blow-out), calculation risks under uncertainty, (oil-drift modelling variable sea-state conditions), consequence (impacts on shores), and utility analysis, (preferences for natural resources). Results show that exploratory eastern off-shore waters north counties Troms Finnmark (>200 km from coast) gives least expected pollution damage. Compared this location, western, offshore parts would require extra willingness pay (WTP) 70 mill NOK (10 USD). Drilling closer shore (≈20 requires WTP 400 500 (80