Testing the unit root hypothesis against the logistic smooth transition autoregressive model

作者: Bruno Eklund

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摘要: In this paper two simple tests to distinguish between unit root processes and stationary nonlinear are proposed. New limit distribution results provided, together with F type test statistics for the joint linearity hypothesis against a specific alternative. Nonlinearity is defined through smooth transition autoregressive model. Due occasional size distortion in small samples, bootstrap method proposed estimating p-values of tests. Power simulations show that have at least same or higher power than corresponding Dickey-Fuller Finally, as an example, applied on seasonally adjusted U.S. monthly unemployment rate. The linear strongly rejected, showing considerable evidence series better described by process random walk.

参考文章(1)
Bruno Eklund, A nonlinear alternative to the unit root hypothesis Research Papers in Economics. ,(2003)