Reductionism or layered complexity? The futures of futures studies
作者： Sohail Inayatullah
DOI: 10.1016/S0016-3287(01)00045-3
关键词:
摘要: Futures studies is likely to evolve through changes in five areas. They are: (1) forecasting anticipatory action learning; (2) reductionist complex; (3) horizontal vertical; (4) from short-term empiricist research the return of long-term history, including grand narratives; and (5) scenario development moral futures.
elsevier.com
metafuture.org 
meta-future.org 参考文章(5)
Eleonora Masini, Why Futures Studies ,(1993)
Sohail Inayatullah, Deconstructing and reconstructing the future Futures. ,vol. 22, pp. 115- 141 ,(1990) , 10.1016/0016-3287(90)90077-U
Peter Schwartz, The art of the long view ,(1991)
Richard A. Slaughter, The foresight principle Futures. ,vol. 22, pp. 801- 819 ,(1990) , 10.1016/0016-3287(90)90017-C
Jordi Serra, Antoni Ventura, The Knowledge base of futures studies Futures. ,vol. 29, pp. 95- 97 ,(1997) , 10.1016/S0016-3287(97)89953-3