Equilibrium and transient global warming scenario implications for water resources in Wales

摘要: : A methodology has been developed to predict the responses of a range water supply sources in Wales global warming scenarios. Hydrologically effective rainfall is predicted from temperature and precipitation for each season based on site specific formulae using Meteorological Office Rainfall Evaporation Calculation System (MORECS) UK Surface Water Archive databases. Comparisons are then made between effects scenarios established equilibrium simulations new Hadley Centre High Resolution Model (UKHI) transient mode results. Though very different, both suggest increased stress resources late hydrological year.