Bounded rationality and heterogeneous expectations: Euler versus anticipated-utility approach

作者: Elton Beqiraj , Giovanni Di Bartolomeo , Marco Di Pietro , Carolina Serpieri

DOI: 10.1007/S00712-020-00697-6

关键词:

摘要: By using Bayesian techniques, our paper investigates behavioral New-Keynesian DSGE models derived under two parsimonious alternatives to introduce heterogeneous expectations: the Euler equation and anticipated-utility approach. First, we explore relation between expectation formation processes model determinacy for a broad range of parameterizations by global sensitivity analysis Monte Carlo filtering. Second, perform comparison assess how much are consistent with macro survey data. Our main results twofold: (1) is strongly undermined presence boundedly rational agents; (2) based on approach fits data decisively better than one anticipated utility.

参考文章(68)
Lena Dräger, Michael J. Lamla, Damjan Pfajfar, Are survey expectations theory-consistent? The role of central bank communication and news☆ European Economic Review. ,vol. 85, pp. 84- 111 ,(2016) , 10.1016/J.EUROECOREV.2016.01.010
Philippe Andrade, Hervé Le Bihan, Inattentive professional forecasters Journal of Monetary Economics. ,vol. 60, pp. 967- 982 ,(2013) , 10.1016/J.JMONECO.2013.08.005
Nikolay Iskrev, EVALUATING THE STRENGTH OF IDENTIFICATION IN DSGE MODELS. AN A PRIORI APPROACH Research Papers in Economics. ,(2010)
EMANUEL GASTEIGER, Heterogeneous Expectations, Optimal Monetary Policy, and the Merit of Policy Inertia Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. ,vol. 46, pp. 1535- 1554 ,(2014) , 10.1111/JMCB.12149
John M. Roberts, Is inflation sticky Journal of Monetary Economics. ,vol. 39, pp. 173- 196 ,(1997) , 10.1016/S0304-3932(97)00017-2
Marco Ratto, Analysing DSGE Models with Global Sensitivity Analysis Computing in Economics and Finance. ,vol. 31, pp. 115- 139 ,(2008) , 10.1007/S10614-007-9110-6