作者: Ichiro Fukunaga , Naohisa Hirakata , Nao Sudo
DOI: 10.3386/W15791
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摘要: In this paper, we decompose oil price changes into their component parts following Kilian (2009) and estimate the dynamic effects of each on industry-level production prices in U.S. Japan using identified VAR models. The way affect industry depends what kind underlying shock drives as well characteristics. Unexpected disruptions supply act mainly negative shocks for oil- intensive industries demand less industries. For most U.S., to global all industrial commodities positive shocks, that are specific market shocks. Japan, oil-specific many