Regime Shifts and Resilience of the Lake Taihu Social‐Ecological System Under Long‐term External Disturbance (1960s–2000s)

摘要: The assessment of regime shifts and resilience variations are powerful analytical approaches for understanding the dynamics social-ecological systems (SESs) over time. Here, we used a sequential t-test algorithm analyzing system coefficient (SRC) to assess state Lake Taihu, shallow lake in China that has experienced long-term external disturbances. results showed Taihu SES underwent shift early 1990s, development states can be divided into four stages: normal stage (1960 late 1960s), preliminary degradation (the 1960s 1980s), disorder late1980s 1990s), reorganization 1990s 2000s). SRC declined gradually from 1960, reached its lowest point 1990, then slowly began improve. Our implied loss resulted essentially. Adaptive management focuses on gradual fundamental should adopted prevent SESs shifting undesirable states.