Subjective Well-Being at the Macro Level—Empirics and Future Scenarios

摘要: We estimate the impact of a large number determinants subjective well-being (SWB) across 143 countries, and project SWB macro-regions for different socio-economic scenarios. focus on 23% variance in that is explained by cross-country differences, as remaining 77% due to individual-specific factors. mixed-effects model quantify contributions various socio-demographic, environmental, energy-related, economic, institutional factors explaining SWB. find contribution institutions economic then generate projections evolution until 2100 based five Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), framework facilitates integrated analysis future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, mitigation. Holding constant some which SSP are not available, results show significant differences SSPs, up two points standard 0–10 scale life satisfaction. The highest levels projected material likely occur Sustainable Development scenario (SSP1) conventional development (SSP5) lead very similar Differences regions large. OECD region Latin America historically. current reveal could overtake countries terms well-being. Overall, our can provide valuable insights policy evaluation context change. Future work expand these scenarios include also further social societal variables.