Interannual variability of human plague occurrence in the Western United States explained by tropical and North Pacific Ocean climate variability.

作者: Tamara Ben Ari , Alexander Gershunov , Rouyer Tristan , Bernard Cazelles , Kenneth Gage

DOI: 10.4269/AJTMH.2010.09-0775

关键词:

摘要: Plague is a vector-borne, highly virulent zoonotic disease caused by the bacterium Yersinia pestis. It persists in nature through transmission between its hosts (wild rodents) and vectors (fleas). During epizootics, expands spills over to other host species such as humans living or close affected areas. Here, we investigate effect of large-scale climate variability on dynamics human plague western United States using 56-year time series reports (1950-2005). We found that El Nino Southern Oscillation Pacific Decadal combination affect States. The underlying mechanism could involve changes precipitation temperatures impact both vectors. suggested snow also may play key role, possibly effects summer soil moisture, which known be instrumental for flea survival development sustained growth vegetation rodents.

参考文章(84)
B.T. Grenfell, A.P. Dobson, J.A.P. Heesterbeek, P.J. Hudson, A.P. Rizzoli, Ecology of wildlife diseases The ecology of wildlife diseases. pp. 1- 5 ,(2002)
David T Dennis, Kenneth L Gage, Norman G Gratz, Jack D Poland, Evgueni Tikhomirov, World Health Organization, None, Plague manual : epidemiology, distribution, surveillance and control Chinese journal of epidemiology. ,vol. 18, ,(1999)
Robert M. May, Roy M. Anderson, Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control ,(1991)
Kyrre Linné Kausrud, Hildegunn Viljugrein, Arnoldo Frigessi, Mike Begon, Stephen Davis, Herwig Leirs, Vladimir Dubyanskiy, Nils Chr Stenseth, Climatically driven synchrony of gerbil populations allows large-scale plague outbreaks. Proceedings of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. ,vol. 274, pp. 1963- 1969 ,(2007) , 10.1098/RSPB.2007.0568
D. O. Fuller, Trends in NDVI time series and their relation to rangeland and crop production in Senegal, 1987-1993 International Journal of Remote Sensing. ,vol. 19, pp. 2013- 2018 ,(1998) , 10.1080/014311698215135
Daniel R. Cayan, Michael D. Dettinger, Susan A. Kammerdiener, Joseph M. Caprio, David H. Peterson, Changes in the Onset of Spring in the Western United States Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ,vol. 82, pp. 399- 415 ,(2001) , 10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0399:CITOOS>2.3.CO;2
B.R. Krasnov, I.S. Khokhlova, L.F. Fielden, N.V. Burdelova, The effect of substrate on survival and development of two species of desert fleas (Siphonaptera: Pulicidae). Parasite. ,vol. 9, pp. 135- 142 ,(2002) , 10.1051/PARASITE/2002092135
B. R. Krasnov, I. S. Khokhlova, L. J. Fielden, N. V. Burdelova, Development rates of two Xenopsylla flea species in relation to air temperature and humidity Medical and Veterinary Entomology. ,vol. 15, pp. 249- 258 ,(2001) , 10.1046/J.0269-283X.2001.00295.X