Evaluation of RCA & RCA GUESS and estimation of vegetation-climate feedbacks over India for present climate

作者: Nitin Chaudhary

DOI:

关键词:

摘要: Popular summary Changes in climate modify the terrestrial vegetation distribution that turn affects system by altering balance of radiation, water, momentum, CO2 and other important atmospheric gases. This entire process is termed as vegetation-climate feedbacks. These feedbacks are studied regional earth model. In this study, RCA-GUESS, a model, applied over India to capture influence these on present climate. I also used RCA compared its results with GUESS. However, before applying models large area such India, it validate models. Therefore, aim study first assess performance GUESS RCA, against some observation datasets for period 1989-2005. Later, examines India. At end, future predictions will be made using RCA. The found was not accurately simulating average surface temperature precipitation summer well winter months. On hand, showed similar pattern deviations but irregularities model explained certain extent regions including dynamic cases, were even amplified. It suggested both require significant improvement their structural design correctly representing tropical region. The discussed reasons mountainous which noticed when different Europe South America. Since considerable uncertainty predicting variables, therefore, very hard deduce actual impact vice versa. would experience overall warming 1oC 2031 2050 more pronounced northern, western central regions. rise much 1.5 2oC. comparable findings studies. But, major shift properly captured.

参考文章(71)
A. B. Shrestha, M. Eriksson, R. A. Vaidya, K. Sandström, Santosh Nepal, Xu JianChu, The changing Himalayas: impact of climate change on water resources and livelihoods in the greater Himalayas. The changing Himalayas: impact of climate change on water resources and livelihoods in the greater Himalayas.. ,(2009)
David Archer, Global warming :understanding the forecast John Wiley & Sons. ,(2007)
Richard A. Betts, Peter M. Cox, Susan E. Lee, F. Ian Woodward, Contrasting physiological and structural vegetation feedbacks in climate change simulations Nature. ,vol. 387, pp. 796- 799 ,(1997) , 10.1038/42924
J. V. Revadekar, G. B. Pant, P. K. Mishra, S. K. Patwardhan, K. Rupa Kumar, K. Krishna Kumar, A. K. Sahai, K. Kamala, High-resolution climate change scenarios for India for the 21st century Current Science. ,vol. 90, pp. 334- 345 ,(2006)
Rajiv Kumar Chaturvedi, NH Ravindranath, Indu K Murthy, Forest conservation, afforestation and reforestation in India: Implications for forest carbon stocks Current Science. ,vol. 95, pp. 216- 222 ,(2008)
NH Ravindranath, R Sukumar, NV Joshi, A Saxena, Impact of climate change on forests in India Current Science. ,vol. 90, pp. 354- 361 ,(2006)
Salem Beyene Ghezahai, Assessing vegetation changes for parts of the Sudan and Chad during 2000-2010 using time series analysis of MODIS-NDVI Lunds universitets Naturgeografiska institution - Seminarieuppsatser; (2011). ,(2011)