IMPACT OF EXTREME CLIMATE CHANGES ON THE PREDICTED CROPS IN POLAND

作者: Waldemar Bojar , Leszek Knopik , J Zarski , C Slawinski , Piotr Baranowski

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摘要: Ab s t r a c . The paper presents general characteristics of resources and outputs agriculture in the Kujawsko-Pomorskie Lubelskie Regions, based on statistical databases literature review. Some specific features regions, with special consideration for predicted extreme climate changes, are also included. Next, some statistically significant dependencies between climatic parameters yields selected important crops abovementioned regions were worked out basis empirical survey conducted University Technology Life Sciences, Bydgoszcz, Institute Agrophysics Lublin. Creating an appropriate method forecasting long series ten days without precipitation was necessary to find desired dependencies. Third, efforts taken make integrated assessments forecast agricultural influenced by phenomena yield-precipitation relations obtained data coming from wide area model regional such as prices farmland produce. K e y w o d : economics, agriculture, change, crop production, integrating

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