Global sea level linked to global temperature

作者: M. Vermeer , S. Rahmstorf

DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.0907765106

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摘要: We propose a simple relationship linking global sea-level variations on time scales of decades to centuries to global mean temperature. This relationship is tested on synthetic data from a global climate model for the past millennium and the next century. When applied to observed data of sea level and temperature for 1880–2000, and taking into account known anthropogenic hydrologic contributions to sea level, the correlation is> 0.99, explaining 98% of the variance. For future global temperature scenarios of the …

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