Uncovering land-use dynamics driven by human decision-making - A combined model approach using cellular automata and system dynamics

作者: S. Lauf , D. Haase , P. Hostert , T. Lakes , B. Kleinschmit

DOI: 10.1016/J.ENVSOFT.2011.09.005

关键词:

摘要: This paper introduces an enhancement of a cellular automata (CA) model by integrating system dynamics (SD) to incorporate household dynamics and housing decisions as driving forces of residential development. CA macro-models used to simulate the quantitative land-use change (LUC) for urban areas are, thus far, lacking profound dynamics driven by demographic change. The model presented in this paper focuses on household dynamics according to the concept of the second demographic transition (SDT), applying aging and …

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