Weather Forecasting Using Photovoltaic System and Neural Network

作者: Iza Sazanita Isa , Saodah Omar , Zuraidi Saad , Norhayati Mohamad Noor , Muhammad Khusairi Osman

DOI: 10.1109/CICSYN.2010.63

关键词:

摘要: This paper presents the applicability of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for weather forecasting using a Photovoltaic system. The main objective is to predict daily conditions based on various measured parameters gained from PV In this work, Multiple Multilayer Perceptron (MMLP) network with majority voting technique was used and trained Levenberg Marquardt (LM) algorithm. Voting widely in many applications solve real world problem. Different techniques are such as rules, decision making, consensus democracy, government supermajority. way different depending problem involved. Majority applied study so that performance MMLP can be approved compared single MLP network. proposed work has been classify four conditions; rain, cloudy, dry day storm. system represent warning likely adverse conditions. Experimental results demonstrate gives better than conventional ANN concept choosing an least number hidden neurons.

参考文章(14)
O.V. Diyankov, V.A. Lykov, S.A. Terekhoff, Artificial neural networks in weather forecasting [Proceedings] 1992 RNNS/IEEE Symposium on Neuroinformatics and Neurocomputers. pp. 829- 835 ,(1992) , 10.1109/RNNS.1992.268635
A. Sharma, U. Datta, A Weather Forecasting System using concept of Soft Computing: A new approach international conference on advanced computing. ,vol. 923, pp. 275- 287 ,(2006) , 10.1063/1.2767047
Atsushi Yona, Tomonobu Senjyu, Toshihisa Funabshi, Hideomi Sekine, Application of Neural Network to 24-hours-Ahead Generating Power Forecasting for PV System Ieej Transactions on Power and Energy. ,vol. 128, pp. 33- 39 ,(2008) , 10.1541/IEEJPES.128.33
Y. Zhang, G.P. Chen, O.P. Malik, G.S. Hope, An artificial neural network based adaptive power system stabilizer IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion. ,vol. 8, pp. 71- 77 ,(1993) , 10.1109/60.207408
S Omar, Z Saad, MK Osman, I Isa, JM Saleh, None, Improved Classification Performance for Multiple Multilayer Perceptron (MMLP) Network Using Voting Technique asia international conference on mathematical/analytical modelling and computer simulation. pp. 247- 252 ,(2010) , 10.1109/AMS.2010.57
A. Ghanbarzadeh, A.R. Noghrehabadi, E. Assareh, M.A. Behrang, Solar radiation forecasting based on meteorological data using artificial neural networks international conference on industrial informatics. pp. 227- 231 ,(2009) , 10.1109/INDIN.2009.5195808
Atsushi Yona, Tomonobu Senjyu, Ahmed Yousuf Saber, Toshihisa Funabashi, Hideomi Sekine, Chul-Hwan Kim, Application of neural network to 24-hour-ahead generating power forecasting for PV system power and energy society general meeting. pp. 1- 6 ,(2008) , 10.1109/PES.2008.4596295
K. Nagasaka, A. Chaouachi, R.M. Kamel, H. Hayashi, R. Ichikawa, Neural Network Ensemble-based Solar Power Generation Short-Term Forecasting International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering. ,vol. 3, pp. 1258- 1263 ,(2009)
Ying-Zi Li, Jin-Cang Niu, Forecast of Power Generation for Grid-Connected Photovoltaic System Based on Markov Chain ieee pes asia-pacific power and energy engineering conference. pp. 1- 4 ,(2009) , 10.1109/APPEEC.2009.4918386