Natural Hazards David A. Burton, Comments on Shepard, et al, Natural Hazards: Volume 63, Issue 2 (2012), Page 1219-1221: Supplemental illustrations, code & data

作者: Christine C Shepard , Vera N Agostini , Ben Gilmer , Tashya Allen , Jeff Stone

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摘要: Tide gauge and satellite data indicate that the rate of sea level rise has not increased significantly in response to the last 3/4 century of CO2 emissions, so there is no reason to expect that it will do so in response to the next 3/4 century of CO2 emissions. The best prediction for sea level in the future is simply a linear projection of the history of sea level at the same location in the past. For Long Island, that is about 7-8 inches by 2080.

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