Production outlook for global fossil fuel resources, and resulting CO 2 emissions

摘要: This paper uses the Geological Resources Supply-Demand Model (GeRs-DeMo) to present detailed long-term projections of world fossil fuel production, including from non-conventional fossil fuels. The paper first assesses the likely range of the global ultimately recoverable resources (URRs) of the three main fossil fuels: oil, gas and coal. This yields a URR range, in energy terms, for total global fossil fuels combined, including non-conventional sources, of about 50, 75, and 120 ZJ in our ‘Low’,‘Best guess’(BG) and ‘High’scenarios, respectively.