Malawi.

作者: S Benin , J Thurlow , XinShen Diao , C McCool , F Simtowe

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摘要: This chapter evaluates different agricultural growth paths for Malawi in terms of their ability to reduce poverty throughout the country. It also estimates the fiscal implications of the investments needed to accelerate agricultural growth. For this purpose, a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model of Malawi was developed. One of the distinctive features of this case study is its integration of a" farm typology" within the DCGE model, which allows a higher resolution assessment of growth and poverty effects. The chapter is structured as follows. The structure of Malawi's agricultural sector is first reviewed and the farm typology is introduced. The structure of the Malawian DCGE model and its underlying data sources are then described. The model results are then presented for the baseline growth scenario and the accelerated agricultural growth scenarios. This is followed by the results from the investment analysis. The chapter concludes by summarizing the findings.

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