An Energy [R] evolution to bridge the emission gap-7.4 Gt energy related CO2 by 2020 can be saved by Sven Teske, Greenpeace International, August 2013

摘要: The Energy [R] evolution 2012 developed specific fossil fuel pathways based on the assumption that new oil exploration in the arctic, deep sea oil production as well as the use of shale gas and shale oil will not take place due to environmental restrictions and in order to help bridging the emission gap identified by UNEP Synthesis Report “Emissions Gap Report 2012”. The Energy [R] evolution 2012 takes up recent trends in global energy demand and production, and further concretizes renewable targets and premises for a global transformation of energy supply systems. The scenario follows the main target to reduce global CO2 emissions to below 4 Gt/a in 2050. According to current results of climate model studies this is one precondition for limiting global average temperature increase to below 2 C and preventing dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.By 2020, the Energy [R] evolution scenario saves 7.4 Gt energy related CO2 compared to the IEA World Energy Outlook 2011 reference scenario. Leading to global energy related CO2 emissions of 27.3 Gt/a CO2 by 2020 compared to 34.75 Gt/a CO2 under the IEA projection.