Using a Very Large Ensemble to Examine the Role of the Ocean in Recent Warming Trends.

M. R. Allen , S. N. Sparrow , R. Millar , K. Yamazaki
2014 AGU Fall Meeting 2014

2014
Economic and policy implications of the cumulative carbon budget

M. R. Allen , C. Hepburn , F. E. L. Otto , A. Otto
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts 2014

2014
Integrated Infrastructure Modelling— Managing Interdependencieswith a Generic Approach

A. Otto , J.W. Hall , B.R. Dirks
In: Dolan, T. and Collins, B., (eds.) International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure Conference Proceedings: 30 September - 1 October 2014 International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA),Schloss Laxenburg, Vienna, Austria. (pp. pp. 137-140). UCL STEaPP: London, UK. (2015)

2015
A National Model for Strategic Planning of Infrastructure Systems

J. W. Hall , A. Otto , M. Tran , S. Barr
Second International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management (ICVRAM) and the Sixth International Symposium on Uncertainty, Modeling, and Analysis (ISUMA)Institute for Risk and Uncertainty, University of LiverpoolUniversity of Oxford, Environmental Change InstituteAmerican Society of Civil Engineers 2821 -2829

2
2014
2009
Reducing uncertainty in Climate Response Time Scale by Bayesian Analysis of the 8.2 ka event

H. Held , E. Bauer , A. Lorenz , T. Schneider von Deimling
EGUGA 10149

2009
HOW TO MEASURE THE IMPORTANCE OF CLIMATE RISK FOR DETERMINING OPTIMAL GLOBAL ABATEMENT POLICIES

ALEXANDER LORENZ , ELMAR KRIEGLER , HERMANN HELD , MATTHIAS G. W. SCHMIDT
Climate Change Economics 3 ( 01) 1250004

7
2012
Creating an ensemble of future strategies for national infrastructure provision

Adrian J. Hickford , Robert J. Nicholls , Alexander Otto , Jim W. Hall
Futures 66 13 -24

23
2015
Energy budget constraints on climate response

Alexander Otto , Friederike E. L. Otto , Olivier Boucher , John Church
Nature Geoscience 6 ( 6) 415 -416

347
2013
Climate system properties determining the social cost of carbon

Alexander Otto , Benjamin J Todd , Niel Bowerman , David J Frame
Environmental Research Letters 8 ( 2) 024032

5
2013
Operationalizing climate targets under learning: An application of cost-risk analysis

Delf Neubersch , Hermann Held , Alexander Otto
Climatic Change 126 ( 3) 305 -318

24
2014
Model structure in observational constraints on transient climate response

Richard J. Millar , Alexander Otto , Piers M. Forster , Jason A. Lowe
Climatic Change 131 ( 2) 199 -211

31
2015
The role of infrastructure in macroeconomic growth theories

Robert Carlsson , Alexander Otto , Jim W. Hall
Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems 30 263 -273

18
2013
Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy

Friederike E. L. Otto , David J. Frame , Alexander Otto , Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Change 5 ( 10) 917 -920

77
2015
The implications of carbon dioxide and methane exchange for the heavy mitigation RCP2.6 scenario under two metrics

Chris Huntingford , Jason A Lowe , Nicholas Howarth , Niel HA Bowerman
Environmental Science & Policy 51 77 -87

8
2015
A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning

Alexander Otto , Jim W Hall , Adrian J Hickford , Robert J Nicholls
IEEE Systems Journal 10 ( 2) 385 -396

46
2014
Understanding the Pause in Global Warming and Its Implications for Climate Change Scenarios

Ed Hawkins , Alexander Otto
Annual Review of Environment and Resources 40 ( 1)

2015
Climate targets under uncertainty: challenges and remedies

Matthias G. W. Schmidt , Alexander Lorenz , Hermann Held , Elmar Kriegler
Climatic Change 104 ( 3) 783 -791

24
2011
Assessing the Long-Term Performance of Cross-Sectoral Strategies for National Infrastructure

Jim W Hall , Justin J Henriques , Adrian J Hickford , Robert J Nicholls
Journal of Infrastructure Systems 20 ( 3) 04014014 -04014014

25
2014