Food Security and World Trade Prospects

摘要: Food security depends on available world supplies of food, the income designated population, and population's access to supplies. Consequently, though seldom recognized in national food policies, there is a direct relationship between security, trade domestic policies that govern international markets for food. On all three scores, I believe we can be optimistic about improvements over next quarter century. Over century, world's supply will grow somewhat more rapidly than demand it, leading lower real prices Thus, trend prices, as measured by grain likely continue current at slower rate decline.' The remarkable reduction price has occurred this century given too little emphasis discussions situation, certainly so pessimists. am confident per capita incomes majority population developing countries increase, contributing an improvement security. Finally, that, with changes agricultural major industrial countries, farm products, especially grains, further liberalized future. In addition, are reducing barriers trade, thus increasing broad trends point o number persons adversely affected both long-term or short-term inadequate This does not mean every country improve. Some governments may follow related restrict production, limit growth incomes, When happens, adequacy im roved improved much they po entially could be. At time, doubt poor performance agriculture insecurity sub-Saharan Africa past have been due primarily inappropriate policies-to discriminated against resulted large-scale governmental interventions trade. Misgovernment plus civil ethnic wars exacted exact