Short-term predictability of crude oil markets: A detrended fluctuation analysis approach

作者: Jose Alvarez-Ramirez , Jesus Alvarez , Eduardo Rodriguez

DOI: 10.1016/J.ENECO.2008.05.006

关键词: PetroleumEfficient-market hypothesisPredictabilityEconomicsHurst exponentEconometricsTerm (time)Time variationsDetrended fluctuation analysisCrude oil

摘要: … Tests for time variations of the Hurst exponent indicate that … This means that the market exhibits a time-varying short-term inefficient behavior that becomes efficient in the long term. The …

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